《神州纵横-凌昆》中国通胀大降失业未大升

2012-08-31 13:11:59

  《神州纵横》中国经济到7月份仍在下滑,内外需求均有不足。与此同时,反映宏观经济状 况的通胀及就业两大指标的表现同样值得注意:这既是下滑的后果,也是未来走势的预示,其中 的结构性变化更有较深入及长久的影响。 *通胀将持续低企*   中国的居民消费物价指数(CPI)通胀早已进入下降轨迹,到7月更大跌至1﹒8%,乃 30个月的新低。其中去年涨价翘尾因素及新涨价因素各半,分别占0﹒9个百分点。由于翘尾 因素将继续淡出,通胀走向将决定于新涨价压力的变化,为此必须审视通胀的产品结构。刚过去 的一轮通胀上升,主要是由食品领涨,而这因素也似正趋放缓:7月食品指数升2﹒4%,而非 食品升1﹒5%,食品涨价贡献不足0﹒8个百分点,反映其领涨力已大减,并令涨价来源较为 Among the 49 blue chips, 17 rose and 31 fell, with one stock remaining steady. China Resources (00291) gained 2% to HK$22.9, while Citic Pacific (00267) slid 5.5% to HK$9.66, making them the biggest blue-chip gainer and loser. Market heavyweights were lower, China Mobile (00941) edged down 0.5% to HK$82.75. HSBC (00005) inched down 0.3% to HK$67.45. ICBC (01398) added 1% to HK$4.23 after it announced that its interim earnings grew 12.5%. Local property counters were firmer despite the government yesterday announced 10 property-related measures to stabilize home prices. Henderson Land (00012) gained 1.6% to HK$47.45. Cheung Kong (00001) and SHKP (00016) put on 1% to HK$104.8 and HK$100. Sino Land (00083) was also up 0.8% to HK$12.78. (KL)

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